Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.239299 0.271329 0.305532 0.344717 0.388307 0.435246 0.489556
2025-09-28 0.195086 0.237797 0.286313 0.345294 0.414838 0.493994 0.590671
2025-10-05 0.166344 0.215859 0.275168 0.350987 0.444834 0.556649 0.699362
2025-10-12 0.146408 0.200880 0.269256 0.360591 0.478492 0.624554 0.818055
2025-10-19 0.128300 0.185323 0.260043 0.363909 0.503132 0.681698 0.926155
2025-10-26 0.115320 0.174579 0.255314 0.371630 0.532861 0.746082 1.046501
2025-11-02 0.105574 0.166888 0.253455 0.382297 0.566367 0.816545 1.178149
2025-11-09 0.093798 0.154714 0.243773 0.380572 0.581777 0.862491 1.278193
2025-11-16 0.084007 0.144283 0.235365 0.379475 0.597256 0.908543 1.379924
2025-11-23 0.075473 0.134770 0.227249 0.377747 0.611073 0.952237 1.479731
2025-11-30 0.070229 0.129937 0.225768 0.385728 0.639470 1.018066 1.614339
2025-12-07 0.064001 0.122735 0.219755 0.385854 0.655392 1.065660 1.723635
2025-12-14 0.058216 0.115857 0.213938 0.386261 0.672433 1.116898 1.842843
2025-12-21 0.053099 0.109593 0.208549 0.386839 0.689599 1.169026 1.965851
2025-12-28 0.049445 0.105604 0.206681 0.393101 0.716265 1.237203 2.116968
2026-01-04 0.046788 0.103206 0.207364 0.403704 0.750636 1.319168 2.293525
2026-01-11 0.043406 0.098989 0.204324 0.407361 0.773174 1.382717 2.442962
2026-01-18 0.040973 0.096405 0.204053 0.415889 0.804480 1.461980 2.621290
2026-01-25 0.039131 0.094839 0.205543 0.427673 0.842047 1.553245 2.823146
2026-02-01 0.035894 0.089908 0.200026 0.425765 0.854708 1.602482 2.956156
2026-02-08 0.033042 0.085486 0.195105 0.424552 0.868383 1.653816 3.094529
2026-02-15 0.030390 0.081198 0.190057 0.422642 0.880481 1.702679 3.230316
2026-02-22 0.028952 0.079574 0.190402 0.431459 0.913209 1.789360 3.435302